Monday, July 12, 2010
UNRE vice chancellor awarded
Vice chancellor challenges students
Former UNRE lecturer visits
A huge Asian population increase will leave Australia increasingly isolated
Locked in combat over essentially domestic issues, none of our political parties is seriously addressing or explaining the unprecedented rise in people numbers already happening in Asia and
One map on this page records our reassuring atlas's vision of our country: a unique island continent, its importance and security confirmed by its huge land mass.
But the new political reality is revealed in the right-hand map, in which the area of each country in our region has been re-configured according to its population.
As never before,
The UN and
Simultaneously, seven or eight already overcrowded countries across an arc to our north are predicted to increase their total numbers by some 1.25 billion, at least 90 times
Within 40 years, people in Asian countries will number six of every 10 worldwide.
Coincidentally, one of the
We now attract record numbers of approved migrants: 297,000 net in the year to June last year, compared with 97,000 a year 10 years ago. Even on the basis of the UN-US lower prediction of 29 million, our average annual intake must be at least maintained at its present level till 2050.
If the more favoured prediction of 36,000,000 should prove the reality, our intake will need to rise to some 350,000 a year. Comparatively few Australians presently welcome such a prospect. Nor are we prepared for it.
Already, in most of the countries above us, the need for adequate water is chronic, affecting some 40 million in
As populations mushroom, it is inevitable pressure on our borders will come not just from uninvited asylum-seekers, but from northern governments, demanding Australia pull down its barriers and share our energy, ore and agricultural good fortune on practical and humanitarian grounds.
We may argue others don't understand the challenges of our country's great distances and desertified landscape. But in times of great human trial, rationalisation gives way to desperation. History shows that the urge to conquest is rarely far below the surface. It is scarcely a somewhere else phenomenon.
This writer was in Dili, East Timor, and little more than 700 km from
Remembered also is an amicable conversation with a Japanese professor during a seminar coffee break in
It is unlikely that we can now rely on the protection of either. Both have extraordinary burdens of entrenched unresolved debt. Their governments must focus on their own survival.
Economists calculate US unresolved debt now exceeds the combined cost in today's dollars of all its financial crises since 1803, including world wars I and II, Vietnam, Iraq, the Great Depression, the moon landings and the entire NASA space program. And now the government's massive post-meltdown stimulus payments.
As the world's wealth and power moves to the East,
Our claim to special status lies almost entirely in our Lucky Country's natural bounty: extraordinary coal, natural gas and ore resources; expanding offshore and onshore oil and gas fields; huge areas of unoccupied land; abundant water (but most of it's falling in the wrong places and most running out to sea); vast quantities of uranium (as new technology and safeguards propel nuclear power into a major source of future energy in country after country); and, in our drought-free years, a vital source of grain, livestock and produce to help feed the world.
We must respect the pressing magnitude of our region's challenges. For instance, China and India alone estimate that the global financial crisis threw about 70 million of their citizens out of work, more than three times Australia's total population.
Despite China's disposition for conquest or absorption (Hong Kong, Tibet, potentially Taiwan) it is highly probable Australia's real-politik path will prove to be a mutual benefit and co-operation agreement between our two nations, and a similar one with India.
As with
If the new mining tax's effect should be to diminish Australia's perceived reliability as a future supply partner, its biggest unintended side effect may be to accelerate China's and India's search for new sources of alternative oil, coal, gas and uranium.
Certainly
It is determined, along with
By contrast,
Infrastructure Australia, a body set up by the Rudd government about two years ago to involve leading businessmen to help attack Australia's ever-growing infrastructure backlog, now calculates its necessary budget at $770 billion.
Of this, Resources and Energy Minister Martin Ferguson has said
No determined plan appears to exist to finance a solution, nor to save us from repeatedly rising domestic and industrial electricity charges. No co-ordinated plan to build new generating installations for up to 14 million new citizens appears in sight.
As in
For our northern neighbours, our coal is a humanitarian product. In
Both countries regard the discomfort and health effects of carbon particle fallouts as localised problems to be endured for a time in their quest for larger, longer-range economic objectives and not to be confused with the
Few of us welcome the prospect of a surge of millions of new immigrants, but we need to accept their coming presence as inevitable and valuable. They underline our obligation to radically attack our neglected infrastructure. We are not building the housing or infrastructure to absorb them.
The world needs to know that we are leaders in our quotas for immigrants and genuine refugees. But we must also state clearly our tough-cop rules: uncompromisingly no admittance for boatpeople returning to the lowest levels of the Howard years.
We urgently need to find a public consensus about the individuals and families we most want and need to bring to our country, their skills, their backgrounds of hardship, their readiness to commit to
As in
In modern
The 40 years to 2050 is a heartbeat in the global timetable. Many of our needed responses cannot be readily bought off-shelf, nor can the skills to bring them to life be imported at short notice.
Time now for a rapid overview of the tasks which must be attacked most urgently, their priorities, justifications, employment needs, estimated costs and financial benefits.
The clock is ticking. Too fast for comfort.
Journalist Colin Fraser was sent to Timor and
What should Australia do about Papua New Guinea?
What Papua New Guinea can learn from Cuba to fight AIDS
Numbers game is on in Papua New Guinea politics
Peter O’Neill says government intact, while opps confident of 34 to topple PM
THE numbers game is on in the run-up to the sitting of Parliament next week where a vote of no-confidence in the prime minister is likely to be introduced, The National reports.
While the opposition held a press conference yesterday, saying they could muster the numbers to remove Prime Minister Sir Michael Somare, a senior government minister said they were intact and solidly behind Sir Michael.
“The coalition is intact.
“We are fully behind the prime minister.
“The government’s policies and programmes remain on track. The stable environment for business and investment will continue. I want to assure investors and our development partners that,” Public Service Minister and leader of the People’s National Congress party Peter O’Neill said.
The opposition needed a minimum of 34 additional members to give it a simple 55 majority to vote out the prime minister.
However, O’Neill rejected suggestions that one of PNC members, Ken Fairweather (Sumkar), broke ranks and co-signed a statement with Jamie Maxtone-Graham, calling for the removal of the PM.
“Fairweather had assured me he was not a party to that statement being circulated around,” O’Neill said.
Fairweather did not appear in a press conference yesterday, held at opposition leader Sir Mekere Morauta’s residence, where Maxtone-Graham distributed the statement.
Maxtone-Graham claimed the two of them were part of a group of 11 MPs calling themselves the “middle group”, who are siding with the opposition to change the government.
The opposition said they were confident of recruiting 34 government members to give them the simple majority required to remove the prime minister in a vote of no-confidence.
“We, in the opposition, are ready to work with our colleagues on the other side to remove this family dynasty,” Sir Mekere said.
Sir Mekere was flanked by deputy leader Bart Philemon and MPs Francis Awesa, Michael Vincent, Sam Basil, Koni Iguan and Maxtone-Graham.
They claimed they were in talks with people in government, but did not say who they were.
Philemon said the opposition was ready to remove the prime minister who had already lost the plot and an old man who has lost his usefulness.
He said the post of the prime minister was on a clean slate and “anyone in government that brings the numbers is capable of taking it”.
Sir Mekere said it was now time for the elected Members of Parliament to listen to the people and destroy the house of Somare.
But a government spokesperson countered this, saying a number of opposition MPs were expected to join the government and the ruling National Alliance party.
The spokesperson said they were also talking to a political party in the opposition.
The spokesperson denied that there was a rift in the National Alliance which was widening, prompting them to “recruit”.
Meanwhile, on the opposition side, deputy leader of PNG Party and Imbonggu MP Francis Awesa denied rumours of a split.
Awesa said the rumours were being spread by people in an attempt to destabilise the party in the wake of the mooted no-confidence motion against the prime minister.
“A lot of people are claiming that the party is divided, which is wrong. We are all intact.
“The eight members are together in the opposition.”
He also claimed the one key party member had been lured by the government but had refused their offer to stay with the party.


